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Lebanon: from Ponzi to Antifragility | by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Jul, 2020 | Medium

And, I can’t be happier to see the antifragility spreading everywhere. Including those areas where the Altresco collaborative is preparing the “new” economies made possible by the disruption and failure of what has been the existing reality.

What we see in Africa is an opportunity, through reorganization, to open the doors for 350 million new consumers, which will be helping reduce CO2, through drawdown that today’s consumer consumption by combustion approach to the existing reality has been stomping into the dirt and hopelessness of abject poverty.
And we don’t plan to be bragging about “how” we’re doing it, although I’m open to some public speaking as people began to “notice” that something seems to be changing for the better.

Source: Lebanon: from Ponzi to Antifragility | by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Jul, 2020 | Medium

Oil Basin in Texas And New Mexico May Be Leaking Much More Methane Than Previously Thought, Findings Show

Natural gas could be eliminating this, if we’ll just help get it there. This is why new gas pipelines, and LNG are so important.

Pollution from dirty petroleum distillates

Why aren’t we shipping this gas to where it can eliminate the horrific pollution of dirty oils, and coal burning at the industries that have been causing ten times more respiration related deaths than Covid 19.

The best way to stop and mitigate the “leakage” is to get the gas to where it can be turned into electricity to replace oil distillates. As this article points out, the gas is being burned, at best, or leaking at 25X the potency. Burning it to make electricity is creating a double or triple emissions benefit.

I don’t know why people can’t get their heads around the reality that, as this is highlighting, making reliable electricity from natural gas results in the most positive environmental impact of all.

Gas generation justifies cleaning the gas and shipping it to electricity generation or industries where it replaces much dirtier fuel.

More than one in 10 flares designed to burn off unused methane in the Permian basin in Texas and New Mexico could be unlit or malfunctioning, venting much more of the potent greenhouse gas into the atmosphere than previously thought, new findings by the non-profit Environmental Defense Fund show.

Source: Oil Basin in Texas And New Mexico May Be Leaking Much More Methane Than Previously Thought, Findings Show

How much would it cost to power the entire U-S-with solar panels and battery storage?

One of the flaws in the “renewable energy” narrative is that it only addresses electricity consumption, and electricity is only 19% of the energy the U.S. uses.

I don’t know anyone more interested in eliminating “combustion” from our energy mix than I am.

But, I’ve also been scorched by “renewable energy” evangelists for pointing out that if we used the same thermal energy storage that the CSP does, but heated it with the enormous electricity capability we’re not able to use as electricity, we could take out that industrial combustion use fed by gas, and oil.

Here’s another example of what happens with solar generation, when it’s added to the essential “reliability” generation our economy requires.

If you were to add up the wind generation electricity, and this over generated solar electricity and used it to replace the industrial heat in the first chart, we’d see both pollutions and carbon emissions go down a lot.

If we used EV’s to store the extra electricity, rather than the utility-scale batteries, we’d see a massive drop in urban pollution from transportation fuels.

If we do that aggressively, we will be able to use a lot more solar, a lot more wind, the pollution could get closer to today’s covid 19 level pollution, and the oil price would stay so low that the petroleum industry would wither and die.

But there is hope for the fossil fuel industry because, rather than the dirty petroleum products, we’ll still need natural gas.

And we need to use clean natural gas for both industry, heat and making flexible electricity.

A truth that is “inconvenient” is that about is that natural gas is being burned anyway, to avoid methane pollution that’s 26 times worse than CO2.

If we make electricity with it, to replace dirty oil engines, we end up with the greenest of all options.

My point is that we must get over the notion of trying to power an entire economy from one or two sources of energy.

With the combination of Solar, Wind, Geothermal, Hydroelectric, Pumped Hydroelectric Storage, Battery Storage, Thermal Energy Storage, Natural gas, LNG storage, and Nuclear, we can power the whole global economy, with pollution-free electricity plus support the fourth industrial revolution without burning any dirty fuels.

The Outlier Mindset – Great Rewards Come From Brave Decisions – The Josh Barney Blog

Following the same processes and practices as everyone else is proving to be disastrous. We’re killing the only planet we are genetically engineered to live on.

But the “stockholders” have been demanding the continuous growth that mainstream economists seem locked into.

Regenerative capitalism will work, but not fast enough to save us. The advertising budget for the “consumption” economy is 50 times bigger than the outlier regenerative, or donut economy evangelists.
COVID 19 is demonstrating how far we are past the “carrying” capacity.

Will we listen? No.

But I’ll never stop hoping our outlier efforts will become even more contagious than Covid.
The “Pre-Covid” mindset was killing more people every month than the pandemic total has,

It’s time to be brave and realize that there are options the swarm will never know if we don’t start getting louder.

We must discover the mindset we need to reap the biggest rewards.

Source: The Outlier Mindset – Great Rewards Come From Brave Decisions – The Josh Barney Blog

California cities top air pollution list — again | Utility Dive

Covid 19 to the rescue.

Climate has been debatable. Pollution is not.

Pollution is not coming from power generation in any California city. In California, It’s almost all coming from vehicles, because the industry is using clean natural gas.

Industry, and power generation have Nitrous Oxide and particulate limitations.

Vehicles do not. (Big trucks, have Nox limits. Smaller cars, SUVs, light-duty trucks, no.)

Califonia’s pollution has not come from power generation for a long time. It’s traffic.

Utility industry news and analysis for energy professionals.

Source: California cities top air pollution list — again | Utility Dive

China’s toxic air pollution resembles nuclear winter, say scientists | Environment | The Guardian

This article is 6 years old, and I’m posting it today to show how long the Chinese people have been having to wear masks to survive.
Covid 19 is bringing the first breaths of fresh air these people have had since before this article was published.

The truth is that we can bring back the productivity, and dramatically reduce pollution by getting off the fossil fuel narrative, and fully utilizing hybrid renewable, natural gas, and nuclear electricity.

It’s time to stop talking about “Climate” and start focusing on mitigating today’s pollution. Kill Pollution, and the Climate will get better, faster than the current narrative is doing.

____________________________________

Air pollution now impeding photosynthesis and potentially wreaking havoc on country’s food supply, experts warn

Source: China’s toxic air pollution resembles nuclear winter, say scientists | Environment | The Guardian

New Satellite Video Shows China Pollution Vanishing During COVID-19 Lockdown—Then Coming Back

In China, the death toll from Covid 19 has flattened out. The average over the December to March time period was 55 people per day.

But the death toll from the pollution that will resume is over 3,000 people per day.

That means that pollution is 55 x more deadly than Covid 19.

Imagine if we put as much effort into reducing pollution, as we are investing in stopping Covid 19.

The European Space Agency released a new video this weekend that shows air pollution vanishing over China as the country goes into COVID-19 coronavirus lockdown, then returning as business resumes.

Source: New Satellite Video Shows China Pollution Vanishing During COVID-19 Lockdown—Then Coming Back

Something is going horribly wrong.

Between the demonization of the two cleanest sources of electricity in the world, Nuclear, and Natural Gas, we’re driving a new resurgence of the dirtiest generation fuel.

Japan, in the face of climate change, is building coal power plants – Vox

How could we think about using coal when we could be eliminating this kind of natural gas waste

There is enough natural gas, being flared for lack of market, to integrate with Wind, and Solar to create a net zero, reliable electricity supply that coupled with Nuclear, could turn the CO2 trend negative.

But no. let’s keep campaigning to keep the planet’s best hopes, buried under sinful levels of misinformation, ending up driving economic survival toward the worst possible choices.

I’m passionate about using every tool possible to maintain and even start recapturing the habitability of Earth, and quality of life for all living things, but it’s discouraging to have arrows raining down, from every direction, trying to kill every other “tribe.”

We must get past the misinformation, and collaborate, rather than fight over ineffective options, when there are viable options.

©  William Ross Williams 2020

How A New Cheese Factory Can Transform The Landscape Around It | Harvest Public Media

What does this have to do with Africa?

We can power this with clean and green energy, and no grid connection.

Nothing, today. but we are changing that. Of course nothing close to this magnitude, but cheese can be the high value-added product we can use to pay for our regenerative, regreening of the desertifying grasslands in the semi-arid parts of Kenya.

This is all part of the macro-strategy I wrote about a while back when talking about getting lights, clean water and decent incomes to millions of people in the lands that are currently destitute.

There are unlimited reasons for hope. We just need to look past the reality we’re living in.

Source: How A New Cheese Factory Can Transform The Landscape Around It | Harvest Public Media

The agricultural opportunities and challenges in Kenya are enormous.

And so is the need, but we have to create a massive paradigm shift with a very small core of people.

It could be intimidating to a point of paralysis, but I’m helped by an attitude that is bolstered by stories like this.

The Mississippi Effect.

Systems sometimes stand balanced precariously on the cusp of change. We may return to the river analogy by noting some interesting facts about the Mississippi. Basically, the river meanders through its last several hundred miles before spilling into the Gulf of Mexico in a general course that could not be altered by any event of less than cataclysmic proportions. But its local course is subject to drastic alteration by remarkably trivial events. A person with a shovel can, at the right place, start a small cut that gets bigger and bigger until the whole river flows through the new channel and an entire curve of the river is obliterated. (This fact was an ever-present consideration to nineteenth-century owners of river-front property, who often hired men to shoot on sight any suspicious persons caught upriver in the possession of digging implements.)  Ross, Lee. The Person and the Situation

In Kenya, the “river” is an agricultural and cultural paradigm, but in addition to shovels we have one other “Power tool.”

It will soon become apparent that it’s genuinely in everyone’s best self interest to make the shift, and it will literally lead to “greener” pastures.