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Lebanon: from Ponzi to Antifragility | by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Jul, 2020 | Medium

And, I can’t be happier to see the antifragility spreading everywhere. Including those areas where the Altresco collaborative is preparing the “new” economies made possible by the disruption and failure of what has been the existing reality.

What we see in Africa is an opportunity, through reorganization, to open the doors for 350 million new consumers, which will be helping reduce CO2, through drawdown that today’s consumer consumption by combustion approach to the existing reality has been stomping into the dirt and hopelessness of abject poverty.
And we don’t plan to be bragging about “how” we’re doing it, although I’m open to some public speaking as people began to “notice” that something seems to be changing for the better.

Source: Lebanon: from Ponzi to Antifragility | by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Jul, 2020 | Medium

Charles Proteus Steinmetz, the Wizard of Schenectady | History | Smithsonian Magazine

Once again, I find a beautifully and thoughtfully written amendment to something I thought I knew all about.

And, it does create a clear distinction between “energy” and electricity, and for me highlights the core complexity of how electrical systems work.

Wizard, Mathematical and electricity systems genius, and what my perception also recognizes as a “magician.”

I’ve been hearing and appreciating variations on the Henry Ford story for decades, but this is the first time the “details” have been explained in a way that creates clarity, context, and an ever deeper admiration.

Source: Charles Proteus Steinmetz, the Wizard of Schenectady | History | Smithsonian Magazine

Africa Doesn’t Need More Development Aid, It Needs More Capitalism

This is what decades of aid have accomplished. It’s called dependence.

Now, Altresco has joined an alliance with Kenyan entrepreneurs to bring the regenerative capitalism that will turn large parts of this desert green.

Source: Africa Doesn’t Need More Development Aid, It Needs More Capitalism

How much would it cost to power the entire U-S-with solar panels and battery storage?

One of the flaws in the “renewable energy” narrative is that it only addresses electricity consumption, and electricity is only 19% of the energy the U.S. uses.

I don’t know anyone more interested in eliminating “combustion” from our energy mix than I am.

But, I’ve also been scorched by “renewable energy” evangelists for pointing out that if we used the same thermal energy storage that the CSP does, but heated it with the enormous electricity capability we’re not able to use as electricity, we could take out that industrial combustion use fed by gas, and oil.

Here’s another example of what happens with solar generation, when it’s added to the essential “reliability” generation our economy requires.

If you were to add up the wind generation electricity, and this over generated solar electricity and used it to replace the industrial heat in the first chart, we’d see both pollutions and carbon emissions go down a lot.

If we used EV’s to store the extra electricity, rather than the utility-scale batteries, we’d see a massive drop in urban pollution from transportation fuels.

If we do that aggressively, we will be able to use a lot more solar, a lot more wind, the pollution could get closer to today’s covid 19 level pollution, and the oil price would stay so low that the petroleum industry would wither and die.

But there is hope for the fossil fuel industry because, rather than the dirty petroleum products, we’ll still need natural gas.

And we need to use clean natural gas for both industry, heat and making flexible electricity.

A truth that is “inconvenient” is that about is that natural gas is being burned anyway, to avoid methane pollution that’s 26 times worse than CO2.

If we make electricity with it, to replace dirty oil engines, we end up with the greenest of all options.

My point is that we must get over the notion of trying to power an entire economy from one or two sources of energy.

With the combination of Solar, Wind, Geothermal, Hydroelectric, Pumped Hydroelectric Storage, Battery Storage, Thermal Energy Storage, Natural gas, LNG storage, and Nuclear, we can power the whole global economy, with pollution-free electricity plus support the fourth industrial revolution without burning any dirty fuels.

The Outlier Mindset – Great Rewards Come From Brave Decisions – The Josh Barney Blog

Following the same processes and practices as everyone else is proving to be disastrous. We’re killing the only planet we are genetically engineered to live on.

But the “stockholders” have been demanding the continuous growth that mainstream economists seem locked into.

Regenerative capitalism will work, but not fast enough to save us. The advertising budget for the “consumption” economy is 50 times bigger than the outlier regenerative, or donut economy evangelists.
COVID 19 is demonstrating how far we are past the “carrying” capacity.

Will we listen? No.

But I’ll never stop hoping our outlier efforts will become even more contagious than Covid.
The “Pre-Covid” mindset was killing more people every month than the pandemic total has,

It’s time to be brave and realize that there are options the swarm will never know if we don’t start getting louder.

We must discover the mindset we need to reap the biggest rewards.

Source: The Outlier Mindset – Great Rewards Come From Brave Decisions – The Josh Barney Blog

Another expression of “Regenerative.”

Amsterdam to embrace ‘doughnut’ model to mend post-coronavirus economy | World news | The Guardian

Dutch officials and British economist to use guide to help city thrive in balance with planet.

Source: Amsterdam to embrace ‘doughnut’ model to mend post-coronavirus economy | World news | The Guardian

Why wait till the economy needs to be fixed, when, in undeveloped areas of countries, considered to be “Developing” we can design it right from the beginning?

In the Netherlands 98% of the population has money to by consumer products.
In Kenya, only 9 million people, out of the 53 million population, qualify as “consumers” and can buy consumer products. 44 million make less than $3 per/day with 75% of those making less than $1 per day and subsisting on what they can grow on their tiny patches of land.

Yet there are more people than the combined populations of the Netherlands, Belgium, and Sweden. And the Natural Capital, along with renewable energy availability, land, and water is adequate to feed the entire population.

The difference has been that Kenya has only experienced the “extractive capitalism” that takes all of the profits that smallholder farmers might earn, and moves those profits up to the middle men who ship the balance of the “profitability” home.

The proposed “Altresco” Regenerative Business system model” is being designed to bring a fair share of the profitability back to the farmers, so they can become “consumers” and start enjoying the quality of life that will exist when all of the Sustainable development goals have been met.

The Regenerative Capitalism model we are designing, along with utilizing carbon free electricty, is allowing us to design all of the Sustainable Development Goals into the local productivity chain.

China’s toxic air pollution resembles nuclear winter, say scientists | Environment | The Guardian

This article is 6 years old, and I’m posting it today to show how long the Chinese people have been having to wear masks to survive.
Covid 19 is bringing the first breaths of fresh air these people have had since before this article was published.

The truth is that we can bring back the productivity, and dramatically reduce pollution by getting off the fossil fuel narrative, and fully utilizing hybrid renewable, natural gas, and nuclear electricity.

It’s time to stop talking about “Climate” and start focusing on mitigating today’s pollution. Kill Pollution, and the Climate will get better, faster than the current narrative is doing.

____________________________________

Air pollution now impeding photosynthesis and potentially wreaking havoc on country’s food supply, experts warn

Source: China’s toxic air pollution resembles nuclear winter, say scientists | Environment | The Guardian

Supply chain experts: Foods that could be less available in pandemic

I appreciate this pragmatic observation. Those who take the time to think do have an advantage in surviving crisis without suffering needlessly.

Stuck rationing toilet paper because you didn’t stockpile during coronavirus panic? Don’t worry, it will soon overflow in grocery stores aisles, according to supply chain experts. But a few food items may start to dwindle.

Source: Supply chain experts: Foods that could be less available in pandemic

How A New Cheese Factory Can Transform The Landscape Around It | Harvest Public Media

What does this have to do with Africa?

We can power this with clean and green energy, and no grid connection.

Nothing, today. but we are changing that. Of course nothing close to this magnitude, but cheese can be the high value-added product we can use to pay for our regenerative, regreening of the desertifying grasslands in the semi-arid parts of Kenya.

This is all part of the macro-strategy I wrote about a while back when talking about getting lights, clean water and decent incomes to millions of people in the lands that are currently destitute.

There are unlimited reasons for hope. We just need to look past the reality we’re living in.

Source: How A New Cheese Factory Can Transform The Landscape Around It | Harvest Public Media

The agricultural opportunities and challenges in Kenya are enormous.

And so is the need, but we have to create a massive paradigm shift with a very small core of people.

It could be intimidating to a point of paralysis, but I’m helped by an attitude that is bolstered by stories like this.

The Mississippi Effect.

Systems sometimes stand balanced precariously on the cusp of change. We may return to the river analogy by noting some interesting facts about the Mississippi. Basically, the river meanders through its last several hundred miles before spilling into the Gulf of Mexico in a general course that could not be altered by any event of less than cataclysmic proportions. But its local course is subject to drastic alteration by remarkably trivial events. A person with a shovel can, at the right place, start a small cut that gets bigger and bigger until the whole river flows through the new channel and an entire curve of the river is obliterated. (This fact was an ever-present consideration to nineteenth-century owners of river-front property, who often hired men to shoot on sight any suspicious persons caught upriver in the possession of digging implements.)  Ross, Lee. The Person and the Situation

In Kenya, the “river” is an agricultural and cultural paradigm, but in addition to shovels we have one other “Power tool.”

It will soon become apparent that it’s genuinely in everyone’s best self interest to make the shift, and it will literally lead to “greener” pastures.